财经理论与实践2016，Vol.37Issue(2)：106-111,6.
商贸服务业发展对农产品价格波动影响的实证研究
An Empirical Analysis of the Impacts of Commercial Service on the Agricultural Product Price Fluctuation
摘要
Abstract
This paper analyzes the mechanism of commercial services impacting on agricultural product price fluctuation.we employ the vector error correction model,the impulse response function and the variance decomposition method to examine the dynamic relationship between them,based on 35 years macroeconomic data spanning from 1 980 to 2014.The empirical results suggest that wholesale/ retail has a lag,long-term and stable negative influence on agricultural product price;transportation,in the short term,has a negative influence on agricultural product price but cannot be sustained.In the long run,the increasing investment in transportation will lead to more agricultural price fluctuation.Thus,we should give energetic support to the con-struction of rural circulation system,speed up the development of agricultural wholesale/ retail industry and agricultural modern logistics industry.关键词
商贸服务业/农产品价格/向量误差修正模型/脉冲响应函数/方差分解Key words
commercial service/agricultural product price/vector error correction model/im-pulse response function/variance decomposition分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
彭新宇,程琳..商贸服务业发展对农产品价格波动影响的实证研究[J].财经理论与实践,2016,37(2):106-111,6.基金项目
国家社会科学基金青年项目(12CJL038)、长沙理工大学研究生科研创新项目(CX2014YB16)、现代服务业发展与湖南新型城镇化省级2011协同创新中心资助项目 （12CJL038）
