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黑龙江省二孩政策实施后的人口预测分析

牛亚星 杨旺 王国爽 高扬

高师理科学刊2016,Vol.36Issue(4):11-14,15,5.
高师理科学刊2016,Vol.36Issue(4):11-14,15,5.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1007-9831.2016.04.003

黑龙江省二孩政策实施后的人口预测分析

Analysis onpopulation forecast of two children policy in Heilongjiang province

牛亚星 1杨旺 1王国爽 1高扬1

作者信息

  • 1. 大庆师范学院教师教育学院,黑龙江大庆 163712
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Based on the census data of Heilongjiang province in 2010,the Leslie population forecast model was established.The population structure of Heilongjiang province in the next 25 years is analyzed in case that alone two childrenpolicy and comprehensive two children policy are carried out,analyzed the change of population structure by transfer matrix.The data of 2015—2040 was calculated by Mendel's inheritance law,in the sequel,its impact on population aging,population dependency ratio,demographic dividend,labor supply and employment is analyzed.Furthermore,population structure changing trend after alone two childrenpolicy and comprehensive two children policy are implemented was given.

关键词

单独二孩政策/全面二孩政策/Leslie模型/孟德尔遗传定律

Key words

alone two children policy/comprehensive two children policy/Leslie model/Mendel's genetic law

分类

信息技术与安全科学

引用本文复制引用

牛亚星,杨旺,王国爽,高扬..黑龙江省二孩政策实施后的人口预测分析[J].高师理科学刊,2016,36(4):11-14,15,5.

基金项目

黑龙江省大学生创新训练项目(201510235031)--黑龙江省“单独二孩”政策实施后的人口预测分析 ()

高师理科学刊

1007-9831

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