运筹与管理2016，Vol.25Issue(2)：268-275,8.DOI:10.12005/orms.2016.0073
城镇化对经济发展的影响及其渠道研究
Analysis of the Impact and the Channel of Urbanization on Economic Development
摘要
Abstract
Based on the combination of qualitative analysis and description of relation schema we present four hy-pothesis, which are H1:urbanization has obviously positive impact on economic development;H2:urbanization could influence economic development via consumption channel; H3: urbanization could influence economic development via investment channel; H4: urbanization could influence economic development via export chan-nel.Furthermore, according to the actual economic development, China has been divided into two kinds of are-as-developed area and developing area.We set economic development variable PGDP as explained variable, set urbanization variable UR, variable UR ×PFI of interaction of urbanization and investment, variable UR ×HC of interaction of urbanization and consumption, variable UR ×PE of interaction of urbanization and export, as explaining variables as well, and apply panel data of 31 provincial districts from 2000 to 2012.After the unit root test, the cointegration test, the F test and the Hausman test, the paper builds individual fixed effects model, and verifies hypothesis H1~H4 in the whole nation and two areas.The result shows that hypothesis H1, H2, H3 is tenable in the whole nation and two areas;hypothesis H4 is only tenable in underdeveloped area.Based on the result, the paper gives a relevant enlightenment.关键词
城镇化/经济发展/影响及其渠道Key words
urbanization/economic development/impact and the channel分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
朱越浦,黄新建..城镇化对经济发展的影响及其渠道研究[J].运筹与管理,2016,25(2):268-275,8.基金项目
国家自然科学基金资助项目（71263037）；国家社会科学基金资助项目（12＆ZD104）；江西省社会科学界联合会资助项目 （）
