长江科学院院报2016，Vol.33Issue(6)：36-40,5.DOI:10.11988/ckyyb.20151101
熵权－集对分析方法在大坝运行风险评价中的应用
Application of Entropy Weight and Set Pair Analysis Theory to Risk Assessment of Dam Operation
摘要
Abstract
Establishing proper evaluation indexes and criterion and making accurate judgment on dam’ s operational risk according to the real operation condition is important for operation management in water conservancy projects. However, complex fuzzy, nonlinear relations exist between the evaluation indexes and criterion. Set pair analysis method has priority in quantitatively dealing with uncertainty problems between multi⁃factors, hence it can be used for the evaluation of dam’ s operational risk. An assessment model for dam’ s operational risk based on entropy theo⁃ry and set pair analysis theory was built. The index weights were determined through calculation of information pro⁃vided by each factor. The model was applied to evaluate the operation risk of a dam, and the safety level of the dam was obtained and the development trend of the risk was predicted. Results showed that the present method based on set pair analysis and entropy theory is simple and feasible, scientific and reasonable, and offers new idea for the as⁃sessment of dam’ s operation risk.关键词
大坝/运行安全/风险评价/信息熵/集对分析Key words
dam/operation safety/risk assessment/information entropy/set pair analysis分类
建筑与水利引用本文复制引用
吴胜文,秦鹏,高健,闫潇群..熵权－集对分析方法在大坝运行风险评价中的应用[J].长江科学院院报,2016,33(6):36-40,5.基金项目
水利部公益性行业科研项目（201401010）；浙江省自然科学基金项目（LQ15E090003）；浙江省水利厅项目（RC1534，RC1548）；浙江水利水电学院高等教育教学改革项目 （）
