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Estimation of the Monthly Precipitation Predictability Limit in China Using the Nonlinear Local Lyapunov ExponentOA

Estimation of the Monthly Precipitation Predictability Limit in China Using the Nonlinear Local Lyapunov Exponent

LIU Jingpeng;LI Weijing;CHEN Lijuan;ZUO Jinqing;ZHANG Peiqun

Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing 100081University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049Collaborative Innovation Center on Forecast and Evaluation of Meteorological Disasters,Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology, Nanjing 210044Laboratory for Climate Studies, National Climate Center, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing 100081Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing 100081

monthly precipitationnonlinear local Lyapunov exponent (NLLE)predictabilityspatial distribution

monthly precipitationnonlinear local Lyapunov exponent (NLLE)predictabilityspatial distribution

《气象学报(英文版)》 2016 (1)

全球变暖背景下黄淮区域夏季旱涝的多时间尺度特征和预测方法研究

93-102,10

Supported by the National (Key) Basic Research and Development (973) Program of China (2013CB430203),China Meteorological Administration Special Public Welfare Research Fund (GYHY201306033),and National Natural Science Foundation of China (41275073 and 41205058).

10.1007/s13351-015-5049-z

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