极地研究2016，Vol.28Issue(2)：250-256,7.DOI:10.13679/j.jdyj.2016.2.250
柔性工程理论在极地船舶航行风险防控中的应用
INCORPORATION OF RESILIENCE ENGINEERING THEORY INTO RISK PREVENTION AND CONTROL IN POLAR WATERS
摘要
Abstract
Navigation in polar waters is complex,with numerous potential hazards and emergency scenarios.Ships oper-ating in polar waters face challenging environmental factors including marine icing,cold temperatures,electromag-netic distortion,high winds and low visibility.Resilience engineering is a recently developed system theory applied to the field of safety science.Resilience is the ability of a system to withstand a major disruption with acceptable degradation parameters,and the ability to recover within an acceptable time frame and with acceptable composite costs and risks.A resilient system depends on four abilities:learning,anticipation,monitoring,and response.The Navigational Risk Prevention and Control Resilient System in Polar Waters (NRPCRS-PW)is proposed to minimize the occurrence of marine transportation accidents in polar waters,to improve navigational risk prevention,and to control navigational ability.The NRPCRS-PW is developed according to the major connotations of resilience engi-neering and navigational risk in polar waters.The concepts and dependencies of resilience abilities related to envi-ronment and the key technologies of NRPCRS-PW are discussed based on five steps:environmental analysis,vul-nerability mechanisms,risk forecasting,state monitoring,and crisis response.This research presents a method to improve risk control capacity in polar waters,which in turn contributes to safe,convenient,effective,and environ-mentally sensitive maritime transportation.关键词
极地水域/航行安全/柔性工程/风险防控/框架设计Key words
polar water/resilience engineering/navigational safety/risk prevention and control/framework de-sign引用本文复制引用
付姗姗,张笛,桑凌志,严新平..柔性工程理论在极地船舶航行风险防控中的应用[J].极地研究,2016,28(2):250-256,7.基金项目
国家自然科学基金（51579203）资助 （）
