交通运输研究2016，Vol.2Issue(3)：1-5,5.DOI:10.16503/j.cnki.2095-9931.2016.03.001
中国城市私人汽车拥有量的影响因素分析
Factors Influencing Private Car Ownership in China
摘要
Abstract
In order to explore the influencing factors of private car ownership in cities of China, the pan⁃el data of 32 provincial capital cities and cities with independent planning from 2001 to 2013 were inves⁃tigated. The dependent variable was the natural logarithm of private car ownership. The fixed and ran⁃dom effect models were established, in which 9 explanatory variables were selected from aspects of eco⁃nomic characteristics, urban characteristics, transport characteristics and policy characteristics. After the heteroscedasticity test, serial correlation test and cross-sectional test, the regression analysis was conducted using STATA and the Hausman test was used to compare the models and choose the proper one. The results show that the fixed effect model is better than the random effect model. Per capital gross regional product, population density, urbanization rate, per capita urban road area, the number of bus of per ten thousand people and highway mileage have positive impact on private car ownership.关键词
私人汽车拥有量/面板数据/固定效应模型/随机效应模型/双对数模型Key words
private car ownership/panel data/fixed effect model/random effect model/double loga-rithm model分类
交通工程引用本文复制引用
张琪,赵胜川..中国城市私人汽车拥有量的影响因素分析[J].交通运输研究,2016,2(3):1-5,5.基金项目
国家自然科学基金项目 （）
