人民黄河2016，Vol.38Issue(6)：81-86,103,7.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1000-1379.2016.06.021
山东省近40 a气候变化及其与相关因子的关系
Analysis of the Climate Change and Related Factors in Past 4 Decades of Shandong Province
摘要
Abstract
Based on the climate data of 15 meteorological offices and stations in Shandong Province during the period of 1973⁃2013 and by using the methods of linear tendency estimate and ordinary Kriging interpolation, it analyzed the spatial and temporal variations of temperature, precipitation and wind speed and the relationship between variations in temperature, precipitation and El Nino/La Nina, numbers of sunspots. The results show that the temperature, precipitation and wind speed experience increasing, decreasing and declining changes respectively. According to the variations in three elements of climate, the changing climatic history from 1973 to 2013 of Shandong Province can be divided into three stages:the first stage started in 1973 and ended in 1985;the second stage lasted from 1986 to 2002, and the last ten years ( 2003⁃2013) is the third stage. The three stages of Shandong climatic change match the warm and cold periods of La Madre well and can be interpreted through La Madre theory. Furthermore, Using the variation in relative amount of sunspot, the seasonal amount of precipitation can be predicted, which will benefit the accuracy of precipitation predicting, promote rational exploiting and protect the water resources.关键词
太平洋十年涛动/气温/降水/太阳黑子/气候变化/山东省Key words
Pacific Decade Oscillation/temperature/precipitation/sunspot/climate change/Shandong Province分类
天文与地球科学引用本文复制引用
陈永金,刘加珍,张平,徐梦辰,海建航..山东省近40 a气候变化及其与相关因子的关系[J].人民黄河,2016,38(6):81-86,103,7.基金项目
国家自然科学基金资助项目（40871239，40901276）；中国博士后基金资助项目（2012M512058）；中国博士后特别资助项目（2013T60905）；山东省中青年科学家基金资助项目（2011BSB01256）；国家级大学生创新创业计划项目（201410447013）。 （）
