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大数据背景下的充电站负荷预测方法

黄小庆 陈颉 陈永新 杨夯 曹一家 江磊

电力系统自动化2016,Vol.40Issue(12):68-74,7.
电力系统自动化2016,Vol.40Issue(12):68-74,7.DOI:10.7500/AEPS20160323001

大数据背景下的充电站负荷预测方法

Load Forecasting Method for Electric Vehicle Charging Station Based on Big Data

黄小庆 1陈颉 1陈永新 1杨夯 2曹一家 1江磊1

作者信息

  • 1. 湖南大学电气与信息工程学院,湖南省长沙市 410000
  • 2. 国网山东省电力公司经济技术研究院,山东省济南市 250000
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

The load forecast of electric vehicles (EVs) is the foundation of planning and scheduling of charging stations. Compared with the traditional method,the load forecast method under big data has the feature that the data to be forecast is quickly observable,real time,etc.Hence the need of the corresponding adjustments of the load forecast methods.This paper first analyzes the data demand for charging station planning and scheduling,and then the ways of main data acquisition.Based on volume,variety,velocity data,each EV”s start time,duration and location for charging,it will be possible to build the load model of a single EV.Furthermore,the total charging power of a charging station can be estimated by origin-destination(OD) flow statistics or adding up all the EV loads that are connected with its related transport line and node.Finally,a case study is given around the load forecast of EV station,and the load forecasting results from different load forecasting methods are compared.

关键词

负荷预测/充电站/大数据/窗口滚动

Key words

load forecasting/charging station/big data/rolling window

引用本文复制引用

黄小庆,陈颉,陈永新,杨夯,曹一家,江磊..大数据背景下的充电站负荷预测方法[J].电力系统自动化,2016,40(12):68-74,7.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金资助项目(61104090) (61104090)

国家科技支撑计划资助项目(2013BAA01B01)。@@@@This work is supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.61104090)and National Key Technologies R&D Program(No.2013BAA01B01) (2013BAA01B01)

电力系统自动化

OA北大核心CSCDCSTPCD

1000-1026

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