林业经济问题2016，Vol.36Issue(3)：222-226,5.DOI:10.16832/j.cnki.1005-9709.2016.03.006
基于EKC模型的山东省森林资源变化与人均GDP关系分析∗
Analysis on the Relationship between the Change of Forest Resources and Per Capita GDP in Shandong Province Based EKC Model
摘要
Abstract
Based on the forest resource in Shandong province and Environmental Kuznets Curve, the relationship between the forest coverage rate, forest growing stock and the real GDP per capita is ana-lyzed in the paper. Meanwhile, the hysteresis effect of the influence of the real GDP per capita to for-est resource was analyzed. The results shown there exist correlativity between the change of forest re-source and economic development level. The multiple correlation coefficients between forest coverage rate, forest growing stock and per capita GDP were greater than 0. 9, which mean there exist good rel-ativity between them. And the hysteresis effect exists in different degree for the two explained variable, 2 years in the lag for forest coverage rate, and 7 years in the lag for the forest volume. The research can provide reference for the development of forestry policy in Shandong province.关键词
森林资源/蓄积量/覆盖率/人均GDP/滞后效应Key words
forest resources/forest stock volume/forest coverage rate/real GDP per capita/hysteresis分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
王凯,陈涛,罗军伟,卞金莉,王丹,鲁法典..基于EKC模型的山东省森林资源变化与人均GDP关系分析∗[J].林业经济问题,2016,36(3):222-226,5.基金项目
国家林业局948项目(2014-4-22) （2014-4-22）
