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“断层云”概念的提出与地震预测

何爽爽 张小真 李晓佳 郭延娜 杨瑞博 郭广猛

南阳师范学院学报2016,Vol.15Issue(6):31-34,4.
南阳师范学院学报2016,Vol.15Issue(6):31-34,4.

“断层云”概念的提出与地震预测

“Fault cloud” and earthquake prediction

何爽爽 1张小真 1李晓佳 1郭延娜 1杨瑞博 1郭广猛1

作者信息

  • 1. 南阳师范学院河南省高校自然灾害遥感监测重点实验室,河南南阳473061
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摘要

Abstract

According to the satellite cloud anomaly appeared over eastern Italy on 21~23 April 2012 , we predic-ted the M6.0 quake occurred in north Italy successfully .In this paper for the first time we put forward a new concept “Fault Cloud” which is observed from satellite data .We checked the satellite images in 2011—2013 in Italy, and 21 cloud anomalies were found .Their possible correlation with earthquakes bigger than M 4.7 which located in Italy main fault systems was statistically examined by assuming various lead times .The result shows that when the leading time interval is set to 23≤ΔT≤45 days, 8 of the 10 quakes were preceded by cloud anom-alies.Poisson random test shows that AAR ( anomaly appearance rate ) and EOR ( EQ occurrence rate ) is much higher than the values by chance .This study has proved the relation between cloud anomaly and earthquake in Italy, and provides a new method to predict earthquakes .

关键词

地震预测/断层云/意大利

Key words

earthquake prediction/fault cloud/Italy

分类

天文与地球科学

引用本文复制引用

何爽爽,张小真,李晓佳,郭延娜,杨瑞博,郭广猛..“断层云”概念的提出与地震预测[J].南阳师范学院学报,2016,15(6):31-34,4.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金项目(41071280);河南省高校科技创新人才项目 ()

南阳师范学院学报

OACHSSCD

1671-6132

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