林业科学2016，Vol.52Issue(5)：160-169,10.DOI:10.11707/j.1001-7488.20160519
黑龙江省森工林区林业用地面积变化及驱动因素分析
Analysis of Forest Land Area Change and Driving Factors in the Forest Industry Region of Heilongjiang Province
摘要
Abstract
[Objective]Woodland is an important part of forest resources,and is the basis of the forest. In this paper, I aimed to find out the forest region of Heilongjiang Province forestry with area change of main driving factors and to the forestry with area change in the degree of influence,so as to provide a reference and basis for the relevant decision-making departments.[Method]This study selected the forestland using data during 1986—2013 from forest industry region of Heilongjiang Province and corresponding indexes data of social and economic impact factors. On the basis of qualitative research,12 indicators were selected from the three aspects consisting of economy,society and policy factors. The data of 1994—2002 were adjusted by the statistical caliber after 2002 ,SPSS18 was applied to establish multiple linear regression model and test the model. [Result]The forestry land area of influence factor model for forest region of Heilongjiang Province was obtained:Y = 900. 565 - 11. 082D1 - 53. 463X6 ,R2 = 0. 867,F = 81. 421,model passed the test. The forestry industry output value,the average annual wages of staff and workers,the proportion of the first and third industry, diversified output value occupancy,forestry investment in fixed assets,population at the end of the year,and the casualties because of working in forestland were showed significant correclation with the change of forestry land area,respectively. The implementation of the Natural Forest Protection Project and diversified output value occupancy affects the changes of forestry land area extremely significantly. In 1998,the implementation of the Natural Forest Protection Project plays a negative role in reduced forest area land area. Once the diversified output value occupancy increased a percentage point, the forestry land area reduced 5 300 hm2 .[Conclusion]The results indicated that more attention should be paid to protect woodland resource in the process of diversification,and finally realize the sustainable use of woodland resources.关键词
黑龙江省森工林区/林业用地面积/驱动因素Key words
the forest industry region of Heilongjiang Province/forest land area/driving factors分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
刘琳,刘铁男,刘美爽,刘俊昌..黑龙江省森工林区林业用地面积变化及驱动因素分析[J].林业科学,2016,52(5):160-169,10.基金项目
国家林业局重点项目(2012－07)。 （2012－07）
