农业现代化研究2016，Vol.37Issue(3)：453-459,7.DOI:10.13872/j.1000-0275.2016.0012
基于DPSIR模型的长沙市低碳经济发展水平变化评价
Evaluation on the level variation of low-carbon economy development of Changsha City based on the DPSIR Model
摘要
Abstract
Applying the expert scoring method, entropy weight method, and linear weighting method, this paper built an evaluation index system of the low-carbon economy development under the DPSIR model framework to quantitatively evaluate the low-carbon economy development level in Changsha City, and to explore the optimal paths for the low-carbon economy development in Changsha. Results show that 1) in the low-carbon development process of Changsha City, the evaluation index of driving force subsystem showed a steady upward development trend, increased from 0.040 6 in 2000 to 0.166 5 in 2013; 2) the evaluation index of pressure subsystem declined slightly in some years, but the overall growth trend was obvious; 3) the evaluation index of status subsystem continued to decrease till 2013 and then began to change; 4) the index of impact subsystem fell again in 2013 after experiencing downs then ups; 5) the evaluation index of response subsystem displayed steady and rapid growth after some lfuctuations; and 6) the comprehensive system evaluation index was stabilized at around 0.36 from 2000 to 2005, and then continued to grow steadily from 0.380 6 in 2005 to 0.680 5 in 2013 after low-balanced development stage. This research also found that the economy development of Changsha had some breakthroughs, but it still stayed the initial stage of the middle-high-carbon economic development, and has great potential to improve. Therefore, this paper suggests that the future development direction of Changsha low-carbon economy should focus on the optimizing the industrial structure and energy consumption structure, promoting low-carbon production and lifestyle, and increasing the capacity of carbon sinks.关键词
低碳经济/评价指标/DPSIR模型/长沙市Key words
low-carbon economy/evaluation index/DPSIR model/Changsha City分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
李民,邓楚雄,谢炳庚,刘彬斌,雷国强..基于DPSIR模型的长沙市低碳经济发展水平变化评价[J].农业现代化研究,2016,37(3):453-459,7.基金项目
教育部人文社会科学重点研究基地重大项目（14JJD720016）；湖南省教育厅资助科研项目（15C0815，14C0774）；湖南师范大学第三批产学研合作基地项目。@@@@Major Project of Humanities and Social Sciences Key Research Base of Ministry of Education (14JJD720016) （14JJD720016）
Research Project Funded by Education Department of Hunan Province (15C0815,14C0774) （15C0815,14C0774）
the Third Cooperative Base Project of Hunan Normal University （）
