农业现代化研究2016，Vol.37Issue(3)：460-467,8.DOI:10.13872/j.1000-0275.2016.0029
基于碳足迹视角的湖北省蔬菜生产可持续发展探讨
The sustainable development of vegetable production system from the carbon footprint perspective in Hubei Province
摘要
Abstract
In the background of the increasing concern for the global warming resulted from the cumulative greenhouse gas release, it is of great significance to study the carbon footprint of vegetable production, which can service as methods for controlling the emission of greenhouse gases and alleviating contradiction between climate change and the sustainable development of vegetable production. Based on the IPCC listed guidelines for national greenhouse gas inventories, and applying the life-cycle assessment method, dynamic assessment, and multiple regression analysis, this paper examined and calculated the carbon footprint in the vegetable industry of Hubei Province from 2003 to 2013. Results showed that 1) the carbon footprint caused by vegetable production in Hubei Province increased by 23.06%, from 116.05×104tCE in 2003 to 142.81×104 tCE in 2013; 2) in the vegetable production system, the top three sources for carbon footprint of greenhouse gas emission were fertilizer, pesticides, and irrigation electrical energy input, accounting for 58.07%, 18.47%, and 9.03% of the total emission carbon footprint respectively; 3) from 2003 to 2013, the trend of carbon intensity of land use was stabilized at 0.97-1.29 tCE/hm2, and the unit production carbon intensity was increased from 37.06 kgCE/t to 39.91 kgCE/t, earning carbon intensity was decreased from 0.10 kgCE per yuan to 0.02 kgCE per yuan, and carbon ecological efifciency was reduced from 1.87 to 1.73; and 4) multiple regression analysis showed that there was a signiifcant linear correlation between the carbon footprint of total greenhouse gas emission and the usage of fertilizer, pesticides, and irrigation electrical energy in vegetable production system of Hubei, with the correlation coefifcients of 0.571, 0.341 and 0.228, respectively. Based on the analysis results, this paper provides the following suggestions: enhancing scientiifc application of fertilizers, raising large-scale land operation level, promoting biological prevention, and constructing greenhouse gas release prevention and control system.关键词
蔬菜生产系统/碳足迹/过程生命周期法/动态评估/多元回归分析/可持续性发展Key words
vegetable production system/carbon footprint/life-cycle assessment/dynamic assessment/multiple regression analysis/sustainable development分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
胡世霞,向荣彪,董俊,齐振宏..基于碳足迹视角的湖北省蔬菜生产可持续发展探讨[J].农业现代化研究,2016,37(3):460-467,8.基金项目
国家自然科学基金项目（41171436）；国家社会科学基金项目（14AZD002）。@@@@National Natural Science Foundation of China (41171436) （41171436）
National Social Science Foundation of China (14AZD002) （14AZD002）
