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基于SVM和LS-SVM的住宅工程造价预测研究

秦中伏 雷小龙 翟东 金灵志

浙江大学学报(理学版)2016,Vol.43Issue(3):357-363,7.
浙江大学学报(理学版)2016,Vol.43Issue(3):357-363,7.DOI:10.3785/j.issn.1008-9497.2016.03.017

基于SVM和LS-SVM的住宅工程造价预测研究

Forecasting the costs of residential construction based on support vector machine and least squares-support vector machine

秦中伏 1雷小龙 1翟东 1金灵志2

作者信息

  • 1. 浙江大学建筑工程学院,浙江杭州310058
  • 2. 杭州市发展规划研究院,浙江杭州310006
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

To forecast the costs of a residential construction rapidly and accurately at the initial stage of construction that lacks relevant information ,in view of the strengths and weaknesses of previous approaches ,we choose support vector machine (SVM ) and principal component analysis (PCA) .Firstly ,a residential project cost forecasting index set is selected ;The data of the input index is then analyzed and the correlation is eliminated by PCA ;Thirdly ,the processed data are imported into the standard support vector machine and trained by the least squares support vector machine model .The prediction results are compared and analyzed ,and then a more reasonable prediction model is adopted ;Finally ,the prediction result of the model is optimized by model parameter optimization .Experiments show that the relative error of the prediction model is controlled within ± 7% ,and the result is stable .

关键词

造价预测/主成分分析/支持向量机/最小二乘支持向量机

Key words

construction cost forecasting/principal component analysis/support vector machine/least squares support vector machine

分类

建筑与水利

引用本文复制引用

秦中伏,雷小龙,翟东,金灵志..基于SVM和LS-SVM的住宅工程造价预测研究[J].浙江大学学报(理学版),2016,43(3):357-363,7.

基金项目

国网浙江省电力公司经济技术研究院资助项目(12-513205-007,名称输电线路工程造价预测快速实现). ()

浙江大学学报(理学版)

OA北大核心CSCDCSTPCD

1008-9497

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