气象2016，Vol.42Issue(6)：686-695,10.DOI:10.7519/j.issn.1000-0526.2016.06.004
局部大暴雨形成的机理与中尺度分析
The Forming Mechanism and Mesoscale Analysis of Local Heavy Rainfall
摘要
Abstract
By using regular meteorological observations data,regional automatic station observation data, Doppler radar data,1°×1°NCEP 6 h interval reanalysis data and hourly FY-2C satellite TBB data,the forming mechanism and mesoscale system activity feature of the heavy rainstorm seen in Shangqiu in 7-8 July 2012 are analyzed.The results show that the trough at 500 hPa and east-west shear line in the low level are compatible with the low-level jet stream,forming the large-scale circulation for the rainstorm. Mesoscale analysis shows that several convective cells develop into four rainfall centers,and the convective cells accompany the MαCS,which is merged and strengthened by some MγCS and MβCS.The MγCS and MβCS are triggered,generated and developed by the ground mesoscale convergent systems or convergence center.The movement and development of heavy precipitation echoes correspond better with ground <br> moderate convergence systems.The rainstorm occurs after the formation of ground convergence system within 1-2 hours.The warming in some local areas caused by warm advection is the main cause for the formation of surface mesoscale convergence system.Rainfall intensity is proportional to the TBB gradient. When TBB/0.5°E≥34℃,and TBB≤-63℃,severe rainfall of 30 mm·h-1 would occur.When MCS (mesoscale convective system)gets matured,heavy precipitation occurs near the low TBB center of the mesoscale convective clouds and when TBB is lower than 31℃ in one hour,short-time severe rainstorm of 50 mm intensity would appear in 1-2 hours.Therefore,the uneven local ground heat warming is the main cause of this moderate convergence system.Moreover,the development of ground moderate convergence systems trigger the evolution of mesoscale convective systems,leading to the generation of local heavy rainstorm.So according to the TBB intensity and the variation of mesoscale convective clouds,forecast of short-time heavy rainfall can be made in advance of 1-2 hours.关键词
大暴雨/中尺度雨团/MγCS/MβCS/地面中尺度辐合系统Key words
severe rainstorm/mesoscale rain cluster/MγCS (meso-γscale convective system )/MβCS (meso-βscale convective system)/surface mesoscale convergence system分类
天文与地球科学引用本文复制引用
喻谦花,郑士林,吴蓁,吕哲源..局部大暴雨形成的机理与中尺度分析[J].气象,2016,42(6):686-695,10.基金项目
公益性行业（气象）科研专项（GYHY201306012）资助 （）
