西安交通大学学报（社会科学版）2016，Vol.36Issue(4)：96-104,9.DOI:10.15896/j.xjtuskxb.201604014
中国区域碳峰值测度的思考和研究--基于全国和陕西省数据的分析
Comparative Study of China Regional Carbon Peak-Based on National Data and Shaanxi Province
摘要
Abstract
This paper discusses the issues of carbon emissions in terms of synchronization,advance or lag between dif-ferent regions and cities in China under the background of the Chinese government commitment to reach carbon peak a-round 2030.On the basis of cointegration equation,by applying scenario analysis,it predicts the carbon peak in China and Shaanxi Province respectively.The results show that the national CO2 peak will appeare in 2030 under the baseline scenario and 2028 under the low carbon scenario.The CO2 peak in Shaanxi Province will appeare in 2029.In addition, it compares and analyzes regional and national carbon peaks and put forward some relevant suggestions.关键词
碳峰值/协整方程/情景分析/预测Key words
carbon peak/cointegration equation/scenario analysis/predict分类
资源环境引用本文复制引用
冯宗宪,王安静..中国区域碳峰值测度的思考和研究--基于全国和陕西省数据的分析[J].西安交通大学学报（社会科学版）,2016,36(4):96-104,9.基金项目
国家社会科学基金重大项目（12&ZD070）；中国清洁发展机制基金赠款项目 （）
