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基于两阶段支持向量机的群体建筑物震害预测方法

刘燕萍 董伟 黄毕双 李晋 杨芳

华南地震2016,Vol.36Issue(2):107-113,7.
华南地震2016,Vol.36Issue(2):107-113,7.DOI:10.13512/j.hndz.2016.02.017

基于两阶段支持向量机的群体建筑物震害预测方法

Seismic Damage Prediction Method of Building Groups Based on a Two-stage Support Vector Machine

刘燕萍 1董伟 2黄毕双 3李晋 4杨芳1

作者信息

  • 1. 广东省地震局,广州 510070
  • 2. 中国地震局地震监测与减灾技术重点实验室,广州 510070
  • 3. 中国科学技术大学,合肥 230026
  • 4. 香港城市大学,香港 999077
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

In conventional seismic damage prediction of building groups, the researchers always make a simple analogy with existing data of damaged buildings. Due to the influence of special geological environment, particular earthquake scenarios, together with the errors in handiwork statistics, there are a certain amount of outliers in dataset. The random noise in the dataset will have a serious impact on prediction accuracy. Thus, this paper introduces a two-stage support vector machine method. In the first step, the authors add different weight values to normal data and outliers respectively. Then a weighted support vector machine is proposed to build the prediction model of building groups. By using a cross-validation approach, the paper empirically tests the proposed model on 640 buildings in Wenchuan earthquake. The results show that the proposed method can not only effectively detect the outliers, but also make a fast accurate prediction. It is capable to be applied to the actual seismic damage prediction of urban buildings.

关键词

群体建筑物/震害预测/支持向量机/交叉验证

Key words

Building groups/Seismic damage prediction/Support vector machine/Cross-validation

分类

建筑与水利

引用本文复制引用

刘燕萍,董伟,黄毕双,李晋,杨芳..基于两阶段支持向量机的群体建筑物震害预测方法[J].华南地震,2016,36(2):107-113,7.

基金项目

“十二五”国家科技支撑计划项目(2015BAK18B01)、广东省科技计划项目(2015A020217007)、深圳市科技创新委员会项目(ZDSYS20140509155229805、 JCYJ20140630144136828) (2015BAK18B01)

华南地震

OACSTPCD

1001-8662

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