哈尔滨工程大学学报2016，Vol.37Issue(8)：1022-1026,5.DOI:10.11990/jheu.201507053
水下生产系统管汇的故障树分析
Fault tree analysis of subsea manifold system
摘要
Abstract
When a subsea production system manifold fails, there are serious consequences. To address this prob⁃lem, we developed a fault tree for a subsea production system manifold and performed qualitative and quantitative analyses to evaluate its performance. First, we obtained the minimum cut sets of the subsea production system mani⁃fold failure and determined the main failure modes via qualitative analysis. Then, we obtained the change curve of the manifold failure probability with time via quantitative analysis and determined the maintenance interval for a giv⁃en reliability outcome. Lastly, we calculated the importance measures for every system component. Research results demonstrate that, the importance measures of two components, i.e., structure⁃support and valve⁃process isolation, are higher than those of the other components, which identifies them as weak links in the system. Therefore, these components should receive special focus in their manufacture and use.关键词
水下生产系统/管汇/故障树/割集/故障概率/重要度Key words
subsea production system/manifold/fault tree/cut sets/failure probability/importance measures分类
能源科技引用本文复制引用
陈卫东,张昌卫,琚选择,张飞,石磊,李江龙..水下生产系统管汇的故障树分析[J].哈尔滨工程大学学报,2016,37(8):1022-1026,5.基金项目
国家工业与信息化部海洋工程装备项目（ E－0813C003）． （）
