辽宁农业科学Issue(4)：6-11,6.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1002-1728.2016.04.002
拉萨市城市化过程中土地利用变化预测
Prediction of Land Use Change in the Process of Urbanization in Lasa City
摘要
Abstract
Taking A city as an example,based on 2005,2010,2015 TM Landsat image data,using Arc GIS spatial analysis technology,we analyzed the land use changes from 2005 to 2015,and use the Markoff model to forecast and simulate the change of land use types in the city of 2020.Result display:(1 )the area of culti-vated land continues to decrease,and the construction land area continues to increase,and the main direction of land transfer is to change the cultivated land into construction land.(2 )the trend of the future land use change in A is that the land,grassland,water area and unused land continue to decrease,and the construc-tion land and forest land are increasing.(3 )With the continuous development of social economy in A City,the intensive use of various industries,various departments,and all kinds of land has been improved,but the in-tensive utilization rate is still low.The research results provided an important reference basis for the coordina-ted development of ecological environment and land use in A city.关键词
RS 与 GIS/土地利用变化/马尔科夫模型/预测Key words
Arc GIS/Land use change/Markov model/Forecast分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
骆诗霞,梁兵,吴启凡,冯艺..拉萨市城市化过程中土地利用变化预测[J].辽宁农业科学,2016,(4):6-11,6.基金项目
国家社会科学基金重大项目（15BSH037、15SHB004）；国家社会科学基金重大项目 （）
