江西农业大学学报2016，Vol.38Issue(4)：792-804,13.DOI:10.13836/j.jjau.2016113
1951-2010年南方晚稻气候适宜度时空变化特征分析
Variation Characteristics of Climate Suitability for Late Rice in Southern China from 1951 to 2010
摘要
Abstract
Climate changes call forth climatic suitability. Based on previous work of climatic suitability model,this study analyzed the spacial⁃temporal characteristics of climatic suitability for late rice all through from 1951 to 1980 and 1981 to 2010 by using the daily weather and phenological phase data sets from 195 agromeotorological stations in Southern China.The results showed that there was a decreasing trend of the climate suitability for late rice in southern China during the period from 1951 to 2010,and a significant decreasing trend from 1981 to 2010.The suitability of temperature during the late rice growth period showed an increasing trend,while the suitability of precipitation increased from 1951 to 1980,and decreased from 1981 to 2010,but that of solar radation showed a decreasing trend during the growth period of late rice.The suitability of tempera⁃ture,as well as that of solar radiation declined from east to west.In view of climate variables suitability during different development periods of late rice,as the same as temperature,the suitability of precipitation from head⁃ing to blooming was lower than that in other periods.Therefore,the farmer should pay close attention to mositure and temperature management from the heading to the blooming stages for late rice.The results of this study pro⁃vides references for the farmer and governor in growth of late rice.关键词
南方晚稻/气候适宜度/时空分布/变化趋势Key words
late rice/climatic suitability/spacial-temporal characteristics/change tendency分类
农业科技引用本文复制引用
张彩霞,肖金香,叶清,杨晓光,郭建平..1951-2010年南方晚稻气候适宜度时空变化特征分析[J].江西农业大学学报,2016,38(4):792-804,13.基金项目
国家自然科学基金（31560337）、公益性行业（气象）科研专项（GYHY201106020）、江西农业大学博士科研启动基金（9232304660）和江西省气象局水稻气象研究创新团队项目Project supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China （31560337），the Special Fund for Mete-orology-Scientific Research in the Public Interest，China （GYHY201106020），Jiangxi Agricultural University Sci-entific Research Starting Foundation for Dr．（9232304660） and the Project of Rice Meteorological Research and Innovation Team of Jiangxi Meteorological Bureau （）
