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延迟退休年龄的合理性--基于合理退休年龄的判断准则及估算结果比较

张志远 张铭洪 卢晓军

经济与管理研究2016,Vol.37Issue(10):48-56,9.
经济与管理研究2016,Vol.37Issue(10):48-56,9.DOI:10.13502/j.cnki.issn1000-7636.2016.10.006

延迟退休年龄的合理性--基于合理退休年龄的判断准则及估算结果比较

Reasonableness of Postponing Retirement Age-Based on the Comparison of Criteria and Evaluation on Reasonable Retirement Age

张志远 1张铭洪 2卢晓军3

作者信息

  • 1. 厦门国际银行股份有限公司,厦门市,361005
  • 2. 厦门大学博士后流动站,厦门市,361005
  • 3. 厦门大学经济学院,厦门市,361005
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

The criteria and evaluation of reasonable retirement age is the theory foundation in the formulation of postponing retirement age policy.According to financial balancing rule,the empirical rule and the computable general equilibrium (GE)model,this paper estimates the reasonable retirement age in China.Three kinds of estimates are slightly different,but all show higher than the current average retirement age,and over time,the retirement age should be risen gradually.In addition,based on the CGE model to estimate the retirement age change paths,the GDP growth rate, consumption levels and social efficiency are higher than those of the situation of maintaining existing retirement age.It further shows that the necessity and rationality of postponing retirement age.

关键词

合理退休年龄/可计算一般均衡/财务平衡/经验法则

Key words

reasonable retirement age/computable general equilibrium/financial balance/empirical rule

分类

管理科学

引用本文复制引用

张志远,张铭洪,卢晓军..延迟退休年龄的合理性--基于合理退休年龄的判断准则及估算结果比较[J].经济与管理研究,2016,37(10):48-56,9.

基金项目

国家社会科学基金重大项目“健全公共财政体系研究” ()

经济与管理研究

OA北大核心CHSSCDCSSCICSTPCD

1000-7636

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