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基于组合权重的地铁车站拥挤踩踏事故风险评价

霍宇芒 宋守信 顾一波

安全与环境工程2016,Vol.23Issue(5):139-143,5.
安全与环境工程2016,Vol.23Issue(5):139-143,5.DOI:10.13578/j.cnki.issn.1671-1556.2016.05.023

基于组合权重的地铁车站拥挤踩踏事故风险评价

Risk Assessment of Crowd Crushing and Trampling Accidents in Subway Stations Based on Combined Weights

霍宇芒 1宋守信 1顾一波1

作者信息

  • 1. 北京交通大学经济管理学院,北京 100044
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

In order to assess risk of crowd crushing and trampling accidents in subway stations,using the AHP and entropy method to determine combined weights containing subjective and objective factors,this paper establishes a fuzzy matter-element evaluation model based on the fuzzy set theory,and calculates the closeness of each evaluation index and standard solution.Then,the paper takes the risk of eight stations of a subway line as the matter-element, and composes the combined fuzzy matter-element with corresponding fuzzy quantity values of evaluation indexes. Finally,the risks of crowd crushing and trampling auidents of each station are identified and sorted.The results show that there is a great difference in the risk of crowd crushing and trampling accidents at different stations,and population density and reverse hedge ratio are the most important factors.Evaluating the risk of subway station stampede accidents helps prevent accidents and improve the safety management level of subway stations.

关键词

地铁车站/拥挤踩踏事故/风险评价/组合权重/模糊物元

Key words

subway station/crushing and trampling accident/risk assessment/combined weight/fuzzy mat-ter-element

分类

资源环境

引用本文复制引用

霍宇芒,宋守信,顾一波..基于组合权重的地铁车站拥挤踩踏事故风险评价[J].安全与环境工程,2016,23(5):139-143,5.

基金项目

国家社会科学基金重点项目 ()

安全与环境工程

1671-1556

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