基于季节性ARIMA模型的河流观测点流量的时序分析OA
Time Series Analysis on Flow of Observation Point for a River Based on Season ARIMA Model
采用季节性ARIMA模型拟合1960~2009年某河流观测点流量。通过比较，得到ARIMA（1，0，0）×ARIMA （0，1，1）12模型，并用这一模型预测2010年1~12月的流量，预测效果显著。
Flow of the observation point for a river from 1960 to 2009 was simulated with season ARIMA model. As a result, ARIMA(1,0,0)×ARIMA(0,1,1)12 model was obtained. Flow of the river in 2010 was also forecasted with the model. The results show the forecasting ability of the model is strong.
郑江松
湖北工业大学电气与电子工程学院，湖北武汉430068
社会科学
流量ARIMA模型差分时间序列
flowARIMA modeldifferencetime series
《湖北汽车工业学院学报》 2016 (3)
69-71,80,4
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