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首页|期刊导航|南京工业大学学报(社会科学版)|物流发展、物流能源消耗与产业结构:基于VAR模型实证研究∗

物流发展、物流能源消耗与产业结构:基于VAR模型实证研究∗

武富庆 韩凤晶 黄永涛

南京工业大学学报(社会科学版)2016,Vol.15Issue(3):123-128,6.
南京工业大学学报(社会科学版)2016,Vol.15Issue(3):123-128,6.

物流发展、物流能源消耗与产业结构:基于VAR模型实证研究∗

On Development, Energy Consumption and Industrial Structure of Logistics:An Empirical Study Based on VAR Model

武富庆 1韩凤晶 1黄永涛1

作者信息

  • 1. 黑龙江科技大学 管理学院,黑龙江 哈尔滨 150022
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

The development,energy consumption and industrial structure of logistics is a vital index to measure the economic development of a country or region. To investigate the relationship among the three has great practi-cal significance to the promotion of economy. The paper made an emperical research on the national data between 1995 and 2012 to analyze the relationship with VAR model, Johansen Cointegration test, Granger test, impulse response analysis and variance decomposition. The results showed that there is a stable long-run equilibrium a-mong the three, an unidirectional Granger casuality between its development and energy consumption, a bidirec-tional Granger casuality between logistics development and industrial structure; while energy consumption does not show significantly as the Granger casuality in its industrial structure.

关键词

物流发展/物流能源消耗/产业结构/VAR模型

Key words

development of logistics/energy consumption in logistics/industrial structure/VAR model

分类

管理科学

引用本文复制引用

武富庆,韩凤晶,黄永涛..物流发展、物流能源消耗与产业结构:基于VAR模型实证研究∗[J].南京工业大学学报(社会科学版),2016,15(3):123-128,6.

基金项目

黑龙江省哲学社会科学研究规划项目(14B013) (14B013)

南京工业大学学报(社会科学版)

OACHSSCD

1671-7287

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