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采用条件风险约束的电网日前风电接纳能力评估

张程飞 刘纯 王跃峰 袁越 张新松

电力系统及其自动化学报2016,Vol.28Issue(10):61-66,6.
电力系统及其自动化学报2016,Vol.28Issue(10):61-66,6.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1003-8930.2016.10.011

采用条件风险约束的电网日前风电接纳能力评估

Assessment of Wind Power Accommodation Capability Using Conditional Risk Constraint from Day-ahead Viewpoint

张程飞 1刘纯 2王跃峰 2袁越 1张新松1

作者信息

  • 1. 河海大学能源与电气学院,南京 210098
  • 2. 中国电力科学研究院,北京 100192
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

With the consideration of stochastic wind power prediction errors,wind power accommodation risk was pre⁃sented and condition value at risk(CVaR)theory was consequently used to quantify the risk level. Based on a con⁃straint on the CVaR,a wind power accommodation capability(WPAC)assessment model from day-ahead viewpoint was introduced. The constraint on CVaR in this model was linearized and LINGO software was consequently used to solve the model presented in this paper. Simulation results based on IEEE 30-bus test systems verify the effectiveness of the model presented in this paper. Based on this model,WPAC under different confidence levels and different accom⁃modation risks can be analyzed easily. In addition,the results can provide more useful information for system operators as uncertainties,probability and confidence level considered.

关键词

风电功率预测误差/条件风险价值/风电接纳能力/接纳风险/置信水平

Key words

wind power prediction errors/condition value at risk(CVaR)/wind power accommodation capability (WPAC)/accommodation risk/confidence level

分类

信息技术与安全科学

引用本文复制引用

张程飞,刘纯,王跃峰,袁越,张新松..采用条件风险约束的电网日前风电接纳能力评估[J].电力系统及其自动化学报,2016,28(10):61-66,6.

基金项目

国家电网公司总部科技项目新能源发电接纳能力评估分析平台研发与示范应用 ()

电力系统及其自动化学报

OA北大核心CSCDCSTPCD

1003-8930

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