大麦与谷类科学2016，Vol.33Issue(3)：57-60,68,5.DOI:10.14069/j.cnki.32-1769/s.2016.03.016
基于信息扩散理论的辽宁省水稻减产率风险评估
Risk Assessment of Rice Yield Reduction Rates in Liaoning Province Based on Information Diffusion Theory
王婷 1王鹏 2周斌 1胡春丽 1李雨鸿 1李琳琳1
作者信息
- 1. 辽宁省气象科学研究所，辽宁 沈阳 110166
- 2. 辽宁省气象台，辽宁 沈阳 110166
- 折叠
摘要
Abstract
The present study made a risk assessment of rice yield reduction rates in different areas of Liaoning Province.Based on the rice production data collected from 1993 to 2013 in this province,trend yields were obtained by using the linear sliding average method, rice yield reduction rates in different areas of Liaoning Province were estimated according to the risk analysis model of information diffu-sion theory.Based on the estimated average yield rates and risk indexes,Liaoning Province was divided into five area groups with differ-ent risk levels:low risk areas,relatively low risk areas,medium risk areas,relatively high risk areas,and high risk areas.As a result, Panjin area is suitable for rice cultivation due to its good climate conditions and fertile soil;by contrast,western areas of Liaoning Prov-ince are not suitable for planting rice because of local drought and heat conditions and higher rice production risks.关键词
信息扩散/水稻/减产率/风险等级Key words
Information diffusion/Rice/Reduction rate/Risk level分类
农业科技引用本文复制引用
王婷,王鹏,周斌,胡春丽,李雨鸿,李琳琳..基于信息扩散理论的辽宁省水稻减产率风险评估[J].大麦与谷类科学,2016,33(3):57-60,68,5.
