摘要
Abstract
Purpose/Significance] For judgment and decision under uncertain situation, the anchoring effect will lead to insufficient ad-justment of the information, which results in a variety of cognitive biases. This study is helpful for intelligence analysts to reduce such bi-as, avoid intelligence failure, and improve the quality of intelligence products. [ Method/Process] The paper presents the properties of an-choring effect and the current status of the research , points out that this kind of bias in intelligence analysis includes selective collecting in-formation, interference of the irrelevant information,subject to authority bias, egocentric bias and so on, and puts forward the correction strategy. [ Results/Conclusions] The paper concludes that modifying the intelligence analystsˊ way of thinking, adjusting their behavior motivation, making scientific and reasonable regulations and providing technical tool support can effectively weaken and reduce the adverse effects of such bias of intelligence analysis.关键词
情报分析/锚定效应/认知偏差Key words
intelligence analysis/anchoring effect/cognitive bias分类
社会科学
