情报杂志2016，Vol.35Issue(10)：59-64,172,7.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1002-1965.2016.10.011
基于专利文献的技术商业化潜力研究*--以3D打印技术为例
Research on the Potential Evaluation of Technological Commercialization Based on Patent Data:A Case Study of 3 D Printing
摘要
Abstract
Purpose/Significance ] Technologies will build connections with economic &social development and produce real value through the process of commercialization. Since the great uncertainty from technology R&D to technology application, the focus of techni-cal transformation is on whether the technology input may bring expected economic benefits. Therefore, an objective evaluation model on the potential evaluation of technological commercialization is necessary to help decision-makers choose a scientific and reasonable technol-ogy investment program. [ Method/Process] Based on patent data and commercial data, this paper constructs an evaluation model on esti-mating the potential for technological commercialization from the three aspects:technology maturity, technology opportunity and competi-tive environment. [Result/Conclusion] The results show that:3D printing is in the stage of rapid development, with high technology ma-turity;Its research fields diffuse extensively, and environment-friendly&energy-saving materials become a hot-topic;The overall fierce competition environment that a flock of emerging companies swarm into the market and the giants integrate their industrial chains, indicates that 3D printing has great commercial potentials currently and in the near future.关键词
专利分析/S曲线/商业化潜力/3D打印Key words
patent analysis/S curve/commercial potential/3D printing分类
社会科学引用本文复制引用
钱越,黄颖,郭颖,孙甘露..基于专利文献的技术商业化潜力研究*--以3D打印技术为例[J].情报杂志,2016,35(10):59-64,172,7.基金项目
国家自然科学基金项目“破坏性创新环境下的未来创新路径研究:构建数据挖掘与技术预测桥梁的视角”(编号:71503020)和教育部人文社会科学基金项目“面向新兴技术的发展路径研究:以纳米药物递呈系统为例”(编号:13YJC630042)研究成果之一。 （编号:71503020）
