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基于Sobol’法的歼击机需求影响因素灵敏度分析

罗承昆 陈云翔 张执国 王莉莉

火力与指挥控制2016,Vol.41Issue(10):122-125,129,5.
火力与指挥控制2016,Vol.41Issue(10):122-125,129,5.

基于Sobol’法的歼击机需求影响因素灵敏度分析

Sensitivity Analysis on Influencing Factors of Fighter’s Demand Based on Sobol’Method

罗承昆 1陈云翔 1张执国 1王莉莉1

作者信息

  • 1. 空军工程大学装备管理与安全工程学院,西安 710051
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Aiming at the problem of numerous influencing factors existing in fighter’s demand calculation and traditional analysis method can only conduct qualitative analysis,a sensitivity analysis method on influencing factors of fighter’s demand based on Sobol’method is proposed. Based on the building of fighter’s demand calculation model,the sensitivity analysis procedure of fighter’s demand calculation model parameter based on Sobol’method is proposed,and a numerical example is given to verify the feasibility and validity of this method. The result shows that the probability we intend to despoil the air superiority level,the fighter number of our enemy and the combat effectiveness of both fighters have an obvious effect on our fighter’s demand. At the same time,the coefficient of tactics application, cooperative combat and management quality have very little effect on our fighter’s demand.

关键词

歼击机需求/Sobol’法/影响因素/灵敏度分析

Key words

fighter’s demand/Sobol’method/influencing factors/sensitivity analysis

分类

军事科技

引用本文复制引用

罗承昆,陈云翔,张执国,王莉莉..基于Sobol’法的歼击机需求影响因素灵敏度分析[J].火力与指挥控制,2016,41(10):122-125,129,5.

基金项目

“十二五”国防预研基金资助项目 ()

火力与指挥控制

OA北大核心CSCDCSTPCD

1002-0640

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