电工技术学报2016，Vol.31Issue(21)：46-56,11.
基于长期运行模拟的独立型微网规划方案动态评估
Dynamic Assessment of Stand-Alone Microgrid Planning Using Long-Term Simulation
摘要
Abstract
In order to assess the adaptability of stand-alone microgrid ( MG ) to the annually varied operation condition, a dynamic assessment approach for MG planning based on long-term simulation is proposed. Primarily, a multiple-time theoretical framework of dynamic assessment is established, while an index system is constructed to assess the reliability, efficiency, cost, and environmental benefits of the planning schemes. Subsequently, a novel long-term simulation method is developed to perform the dynamic assessment. In the proposed simulation method, the annually varied factors concerning external environment and internal structure are simulated by dynamic modeling in the life cycle of MG; and the short-term uncertainties are characterized by sequential Monte Carlo simulation in each year. In the case study of a typical stand-alone microgrid, the validity and effectiveness of the proposed approach is verified by comparing to the results of HOMER , which is commonly used in the MG planning. The proposed approach can provide the assessment results containing the overall indices as well as the time-sequencing index sets of planning schemes in different scenarios, which is more comprehensive and flexible than the conventional static assessment. Thus it can be utilized to facilitate the decision of MG planning and generation expansion.关键词
独立型微网/动态评估/长期运行模拟/多时间尺度Key words
Stand-alone microgrid/dynamic assessment/long-term simulation/multiple time frames分类
信息技术与安全科学引用本文复制引用
曹晓宇,王建学,张忠,成宏亮..基于长期运行模拟的独立型微网规划方案动态评估[J].电工技术学报,2016,31(21):46-56,11.基金项目
国家自然科学基金(51577146)和陕西省自然科学基础研究计划(2016JM5072)资助项目。 （51577146）
