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基于"性能-因素"关联关系挖掘的中压配电网可靠性评估

苏韵掣 刘俊勇 刘友波 成思琪 高红均 戴松灵

电力建设2016,Vol.37Issue(11):55-63,9.
电力建设2016,Vol.37Issue(11):55-63,9.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1000-7229.2016.11.009

基于"性能-因素"关联关系挖掘的中压配电网可靠性评估

Evaluation of Medium-Voltage Distribution Network Reliability Based on"Performance-Element" Correlation Mining

苏韵掣 1刘俊勇 1刘友波 1成思琪 2高红均 1戴松灵3

作者信息

  • 1. 四川大学电气信息学院,成都市610065
  • 2. 国网成都供电公司,成都市610041
  • 3. 国网四川省电力公司电力经济技术研究院,成都市610041
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

This paper proposes a fast and quantitative reliability evaluation method for medium-voltage distribution network by using data correlation analysis. First, we establish "performance-element" double-deck evaluation system based on distribution network reliability improving methods, which symbolizes the reliable performance and construction status of the system, respectively. Second, through virtual distribution network simulation system we calculate enormous indexes of different kinds of distribution network to provide data support. Last, we establish stepwise regression model to analyze the correlation among indexes, which transforms the multivariate nonlinear regression problem into the multi-step simple regression problem with considering distribution network failure mode, and finally obtains index correlation explicit expression. The validity of the proposed model has been verified through the reliability evaluation on three test distribution network and one real distribution system.

关键词

中压配电网/可靠性评估/海量数据生成/关联关系挖掘

Key words

medium-voltage distribution network/reliability evaluation/enormous data generation/correlation analysis

分类

信息技术与安全科学

引用本文复制引用

苏韵掣,刘俊勇,刘友波,成思琪,高红均,戴松灵..基于"性能-因素"关联关系挖掘的中压配电网可靠性评估[J].电力建设,2016,37(11):55-63,9.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金项目(51437003) Project supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (51437003) (51437003)

电力建设

OA北大核心CSTPCD

1000-7229

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