南水北调与水利科技2016，Vol.14Issue(6)：122-127,6.DOI:10.13476/j.cnki.nsbdqk.2016.06.021
基于云模型的尾矿库溃坝风险模糊评价模型
Tailings dam risk fuzzy evaluation model based on the cloud model
摘要
Abstract
Targeting at the fuzziness and uncertainty faced in the process of tailings dam risk evaluation ,tailings dam risk was taken as a whole and appropriate evaluation factors were selected ,in combination with the improved AHP and cloud model theo‐ry ,a model suitable for tailings dam risk fuzzy evaluation was established .Numerical examples showed that ,the corresponding cloud model generated based on the standard of each evaluation factor assignment could fully characterize the fuzziness ,random‐ness and discreteness in the process of evaluation .After calculating the weight of each evaluation factor using the improved AHP ,comprehensive evaluation was conducted according to the principle of maximum membership degree .The result was con‐sistent with the actual situation ,which further evidenced the correctness and validity of the evaluation model ,and provides a new way for tailings dam risk evaluation .关键词
尾矿库/溃坝风险评价/不确定性/云模型/综合评判Key words
tailings/dam-break risk evaluation/uncertainty/cloud model/comprehensive evaluation分类
水利科学引用本文复制引用
徐镇凯,刘璇,魏博文,张林,温勇兵..基于云模型的尾矿库溃坝风险模糊评价模型[J].南水北调与水利科技,2016,14(6):122-127,6.基金项目
国家自然科学基金（51409139；51569014）；江西省教育厅科学技术研究（GJJ14223）；南昌大学研究生创新专项资金（cx2015074） FundNational Natural Science Foundation of China （51409139；51569014＿；Science and Technology Research Project of Education Depart-ment of Jiangxi Province（GJJ14223）；Nanchang University Graduate Innovation Special Funds （）
