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MJO持续异常对ENSO的影响

严欣 琚建华 甘薇薇

热带气象学报2016,Vol.32Issue(5):634-644,11.
热带气象学报2016,Vol.32Issue(5):634-644,11.DOI:10.16032/j.issn.1004-4965.2016.05.006

MJO持续异常对ENSO的影响

THE INFLUENCE OF PERSISTENT ANOMALY OF MJO ON ENSO

严欣 1琚建华 2甘薇薇3

作者信息

  • 1. 云南大学资源环境与地球科学学院,云南 昆明 650091
  • 2. 云南省气象局,云南 昆明 650034
  • 3. 四川省气候中心,四川 成都 610072
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

In this study,two possible persistent anomaly modes of MJO are found in the summer season (per-sistently active over the Pacific and Indian Oceans),and an index is set to define the intensity of the two modes.They are proved to have high statistical correlations to subsequent ENSO events in the autumn and win-ter seasons:When a persistent anomaly of MJO happens in the Pacific in summer,El Nio events are often in-duced during the autumn and winter seasons of that year.However,during the other MJO mode when the sum-mer persistent anomaly of MJO occurs in the Indian Ocean,La Nia events often follow instead.An analysis of the atmospheric circulation field indicates that persistent anomaly of MJO can probably affect the entire equatori-al Pacific circulation,resulting in wind stress anomalies.The wind stress anomalies could excite warm or cold water masses which propagate eastwards in the subsurface ocean.The accumulation of warm or cold subsurface water in the equatorial eastern Pacific may eventually lead to the formation of an ENSO.

关键词

MJO/ENSO/风应力/次表层海温(SOTA)/SST

Key words

MJO/ENSO/wind stress/sea surface temperature anomaly/subsurface ocean temperature anomaly

分类

天文与地球科学

引用本文复制引用

严欣,琚建华,甘薇薇..MJO持续异常对ENSO的影响[J].热带气象学报,2016,32(5):634-644,11.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金项目(41375059);国家公益性行业(气象)专项(GYHY201306022)共同资助 ()

热带气象学报

OA北大核心CSCDCSTPCD

1004-4965

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