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P气田基于地质模型的储量不确定性分析

高玉飞 胡光义 王晖 孙立春

山东国土资源2016,Vol.32Issue(10):16-20,5.
山东国土资源2016,Vol.32Issue(10):16-20,5.

P气田基于地质模型的储量不确定性分析

Analysis on Uncertainty of Reserve Based on Geology Model in P Gas Field

高玉飞 1胡光义 1王晖 1孙立春1

作者信息

  • 1. 中海油研究总院,北京 100027
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

The ultimate goal of geological modeling is to set up a reasonable geological model and characterize the uncertainty of reservoir and reserves. The South China Sea P gas field is at the stage of early study and its well data is lack, the lateral and vertical variety of reservoir is very quick, so the uncertainty of the reserve is very strong. This paper discussed the method for the uncertainty of reserve based on geology model, then the general method a⁃bout the uncertainty of similar gas field has been summarized. Through analysis on the sensitivity about the variable, the main variable has been determined. Based on this study, reserve evaluation and optimization of geological model have been done by Latin Hypercube Sampling. At last the change of structure and OWC is defined as the main fac⁃tor affected the reserve of the gas field, and P50 is the producing reserve. The method provide a new thought for re⁃serve utilization at the stage of early study.

关键词

地质模型/变量/不确定性分析/地质储量/拉丁超立方法

Key words

Geological model/variable/analysis on uncertainty/geological reverse/Latin Hypercube method

分类

能源科技

引用本文复制引用

高玉飞,胡光义,王晖,孙立春..P气田基于地质模型的储量不确定性分析[J].山东国土资源,2016,32(10):16-20,5.

基金项目

国家重大专项基金项目,项目编号为2011ZX05024001 ()

山东国土资源

1672-6979

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