地震工程学报2016，Vol.38Issue(z1)：1-7,7.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1000-0844.2016.Supp.1.0001
地震成因的外核对流顶托说
Hypothesis about the Cause of Earthquakes Driven by the Jacking Effect of Convection in the Outer Core
摘要
Abstract
The most effective and efficient way to reduce the losses resulting from earthquakes is accurate prediction.Effective earthquake prediction remains one of the most pressing scientific issues due to a lack of understanding of their causes.Put simply,we do not know how the Earth’s interior works.One of the milestones in earth science is the emerging concept of an Earth system,which helps in understanding earthquakes in terms of interactions among the Earth’s different spheres (i.e.,sub-systems).In this paper,by combining the results of the relationship between the Earth's thermal (soil temperature)and climatic (precipitation)conditions with earth-quake data from mainland China,it is found that there are some evolution patterns and regulari-ties in monthly soil-temperature and precipitation anomalies.A three-step approach to monthly/seasonal strong-earthquake prediction in China is summarized.This approach is effective in earth-quake prediction tests.At least two of the three elements (time,location,and magnitude)of an earthquake can be predicted within the allowable error range.Finally,a hypothesis about the j acking effect of convection in the outer core on the causes of earthquakes is proposed by analyzing the physical characteristics of the sub-systems of the Earth system.关键词
地震/外核对流/Benard对流/降水/地温Key words
earthquake/convection in the outer core/Benard convection/rainfall/ground分类
天文与地球科学引用本文复制引用
高晓清,杨丽薇,郭安宁,董治平,郭增建,汤懋苍..地震成因的外核对流顶托说[J].地震工程学报,2016,38(z1):1-7,7.基金项目
国家自然科学基金项目(91437108) （91437108）
国家重点基础研究发展计划(973计划)项目(2008CB425704) （973计划）
