中国动物传染病学报Issue(5)：16-20,5.
无疫猪群引进母猪传入猪伪狂犬病的定量风险评估
RISK ASSESSMENT OF INTRODUCTION OF PORCINE PSEUDORABIES INTO DISEASE-FREE HERDS THROUGH IMPORTED SOWS
摘要
Abstract
In order to assess the probability of introduction of porcine pseudorabies into disease-free herds through imported sows in Shanghai, 2 quantitative risk assessment models (one was formally imported sow model and another was directly mixed sow model) were used in the present study. The prevalence of sow pseudorabies in herds and individuals in export areas was detected ingpI-ELISA. Data obtained from these 2 models were analyzed using @Risk software. The results revealed that the probability of introduction of porcine pseudorabies into disease-free herds through formally imported sow model was 0.11%, but the directly mixed sow model was as high as 12.83%. The sensitive analysis indicated that the correlation coeffi cient of resistance to Pseudorabies virus and detection were -0.65 and -0.42, respectively. This risk assessment suggested that the vaccination and detection effectively could reduced the risk of introduction of porcine pseudorabies.关键词
无疫猪群/猪伪狂犬病/传入/定量风险评估Key words
Disease-free herd/porcine pseudorabies/introduction/quantitative risk assessment分类
农业科技引用本文复制引用
夏炉明,陈琦,卢军,朱九超,张敏,曹向英,孙泉云..无疫猪群引进母猪传入猪伪狂犬病的定量风险评估[J].中国动物传染病学报,2016,(5):16-20,5.基金项目
上海市市级农口系统青年人才成长计划（沪农青字（2014）第2-10号） （）
