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区域海洋减灾能力评估指标体系构建与权重量化

栗健 蔡大浩 方伟华 国志兴 贾慧聪 杨洋 赵明利 管琴乐 黎舸 李仪

海洋科学2016,Vol.40Issue(9):117-127,11.
海洋科学2016,Vol.40Issue(9):117-127,11.DOI:10.11759/hykx20160524001

区域海洋减灾能力评估指标体系构建与权重量化

Establishment and weight quantification of indicator system for marine disaster coping capacity assessment

栗健 1蔡大浩 2方伟华 3国志兴 1贾慧聪 2杨洋 4赵明利 5管琴乐 1黎舸 2李仪6

作者信息

  • 1. 北京师范大学环境演变与自然灾害教育部重点实验室,北京 100875
  • 2. 北京师范大学民政部-教育部减灾与应急管理研究院,北京 100875
  • 3. 国家海洋信息中心,天津 300171
  • 4. 国家海洋局海洋减灾中心,北京 100194
  • 5. 中国科学院遥感与数字地球研究所/数字地球重点实验室,北京 100094
  • 6. 国家海洋局南海规划与环境研究院,广东广州 510300
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Marine disasters have been causing enormous economic and human loss to the coastal areas of China. Understanding and quantification of disaster risk reduction (DRR) capacity is of great significance for the govern-ments to determine DRR-priority areas and key projects at both local and national levels. There are very few com-prehensive studies on DRR capacity quantification methods or applications for marine disasters. In this article, first, the relationship between DRR capacity and other components of disaster management, including capacity needs, DRR cost and benefit, priority areas, and capacity building entities, is discussed. Second, a three-hierarchy indicator system, which comprises six first hierarchy indicators, 21 second hierarchy indicators, and 136 third hierarchy in-dicators, is proposed through multiple-round discussion with multiple stakeholders, including DRR government departments, research institutes, and independent experts from China. Finally, the weights of indicators are quanti-fied on the basis of valid questionnaires from 69 experts by using analytic hierarchy process method. Based on the indicator system and weights developed in this study, three cities and 11 counties of China have successfully as-sessed their DRR capacities. The results and experiences presented in this article are of great value to future DRR capacity assessment promotion and practice in all coastal counties of China.

关键词

减灾能力/评价指标体系/海洋灾害/层次分析法

Key words

coping capacity/indicator system for assessment/marine disaster/analytic hierarchy process

分类

资源环境

引用本文复制引用

栗健,蔡大浩,方伟华,国志兴,贾慧聪,杨洋,赵明利,管琴乐,黎舸,李仪..区域海洋减灾能力评估指标体系构建与权重量化[J].海洋科学,2016,40(9):117-127,11.

基金项目

区域海洋减灾能力综合评估(2015) (2015)

海洋公益性行业科研专项(201305020)@@@@Foundation:Study on comprehensive regional marine disaster coping capacity assessment (2015) (201305020)

Public science and technology research funds projects of ocean, No.201305020 ()

海洋科学

OA北大核心CSCDCSTPCD

1000-3096

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