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城市尺度下基站人群时空预测模型

孙莹 陈夏明 王海洋 强思维

计算机应用研究2016,Vol.33Issue(12):3521-3526,3534,7.
计算机应用研究2016,Vol.33Issue(12):3521-3526,3534,7.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1001-3695.2016.12.001

城市尺度下基站人群时空预测模型

Spatio-temporal analysis and forecast of population of cellular in city scale

孙莹 1陈夏明 1王海洋 1强思维1

作者信息

  • 1. 上海交通大学 电子信息与电气工程学院 区域光纤通信网与新型光通信系统国家重点实验室,上海200240
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摘要

Abstract

This paper studied the time and space distributions of city-scaled residents by making use of 3G mobile network da-ta,and proposed a spatio-temporal forecasting model of cellular population.The inspiration came from the real world accumu-lation and dispersion of crowd.For importing the dynamic mobility,this model could avoid the effect of data smoothing widely embedded in previous models based on time series and overall space data.Through experimental verification,this model has been proved that it owns a better prediction performance on a fine-grained scale,especially in the prediction of incident crowd. This study and mode helps to better understand the crowd distribution and provide support for wireless network base station re-search.

关键词

人群分布/3G上网数据/动态聚散/时空分析/预测模型

Key words

population distribution/3G mobile phone data/dynamic accumulation and dispersion/spatio-temporal analysis/forecast model

分类

信息技术与安全科学

引用本文复制引用

孙莹,陈夏明,王海洋,强思维..城市尺度下基站人群时空预测模型[J].计算机应用研究,2016,33(12):3521-3526,3534,7.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金资助项目 ()

计算机应用研究

OA北大核心CSCDCSTPCD

1001-3695

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