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制造业外移对江苏省产业空心化的影响--基于改进的灰色投影关联度模型的分析

姜鸿 卜兴云 张艺影

常州大学学报(社会科学版)2016,Vol.17Issue(6):43-50,8.
常州大学学报(社会科学版)2016,Vol.17Issue(6):43-50,8.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.2095-042X.2016.06.007

制造业外移对江苏省产业空心化的影响--基于改进的灰色投影关联度模型的分析

Influences of Manufacturing Industry Out-shift on Industrial Hollowing in Jiangsu Province-Based on the Analysis by Improved Gray Proj ection Relation Model

姜鸿 1卜兴云 1张艺影1

作者信息

  • 1. 常州大学商学院
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

According to features of industrial hollowing,taking scale growth rate,employment growth rate,employment structure,TFP growth rate and export structure as secondary variables and ODI stock of Jiangsu Province as the variable of manufacturing industry out-shift,using the data of 2004-2014 as samples,based on the empirical research by improved gray projection relation model,it analyzes influences of manufacturing industry out-shift on industrial hollowing in Jiangsu Province.It demonstrates that indus-trial hollowing probably would happen in Jiangsu in 2014 and manufacturing industry out-shift is one of the influencing factors.As a result,the relationship between real economy and virtual economy should be han-dled properly in Jiangsu.We should promote the current manufacturing industry,optimize the structure of manufacturing industry out-shift,increase R&D investment and enhance the development of the high-end manufacturing and strategic emerging industries so as to eliminate industrial hollowing.

关键词

制造业外移/产业空心化/改进的灰色投影关联度模型

Key words

manufacturing industry out-shift/industrial hollowing/improved gray proj ection relation model

分类

管理科学

引用本文复制引用

姜鸿,卜兴云,张艺影..制造业外移对江苏省产业空心化的影响--基于改进的灰色投影关联度模型的分析[J].常州大学学报(社会科学版),2016,17(6):43-50,8.

基金项目

江苏高校哲学社会科学一般项目“制造业外移加快形势下江苏产业空心化风险评估与防范研究”(2016SJB790062)。 (2016SJB790062)

常州大学学报(社会科学版)

OACHSSCD

2095-042X

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