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河南省人口出生率影响因素的实证分析

向超

重庆文理学院学报(社会科学版)2016,Vol.35Issue(6):151-156,6.
重庆文理学院学报(社会科学版)2016,Vol.35Issue(6):151-156,6.

河南省人口出生率影响因素的实证分析

An Empirical Analysis of the Birth Rate Factors in Henan Province

向超1

作者信息

  • 1. 兰州财经大学 经济学院,甘肃 兰州 730020
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Since the reform and opening up, the rapid development of Chinese economy is largely due to population policy which brought demographic dividend. However, with the development of the times, Chinese population presents a new situation in which a low birth rate, low death rate and low growth rate. Based on the current situation of China, in order to understand the likely fu-ture demographic trends after the “comprehensive two-child policy”, taking populous province of Henan province as a case, the influence factors of the birth rate were studied based on the data of 18 provincial cities in Henan using stepwise regression analy-sis showing that the birth rate of Henan population is affected by children dependency ratio and government finances in health, e-ducation, social security and employment expenditure, in which the influence of children dependency ratio is the most obvious.

关键词

逐步回归/人口出生率/负担少年系数

Key words

stepwise regression analysis/birth rate/children dependency ratio

分类

社会科学

引用本文复制引用

向超..河南省人口出生率影响因素的实证分析[J].重庆文理学院学报(社会科学版),2016,35(6):151-156,6.

重庆文理学院学报(社会科学版)

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