中国人口·资源与环境2016，Vol.26Issue(11)：37-44,8.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1002-2104.2016.11.005
西北地区城市化进程对产业结构演变的驱动效应研究
Driving effect of the industrial structure development in the process ofurbanization in northwest China
摘要
Abstract
Based on the panel data of 51 cities(states and regions) in the northwest China from 2005 to 2012, the driving effect of the industrial structure development in the process of urbanization was measured by using the correlation index.Based on the time-space evolution trend, the author analyzed its spatial correlation and time-space driving paths by using the method of spatial autocorrelation test and spatial econometrics.The results were as follows: ① the driving effect of the industrial structure development in the process of urbanization in northwest China was relatively low, but its tendency was to be gradually enhanced in most of the cities(states and regions).The driving effect of the industrial structure development in the process of urbanization in northwest China was rising.② There is block-shaped distribution about the driving effect of the industrial structure development in the process of urbanization in northwest China, and the growth of the driving effect in the densely populated cities was more obvious than sparsely populated cities.Spatial autocorrelation test showed that the driving effect of the industrial structure development in the process of urbanization in northwest China had some similarities;that is to say, the high value agglomeration was more than the low value agglomeration,and the spatial positive correlation of the driving effect was in decline.③ The economic development, the strength of regional development, the strength of regional openness and industrial agglomeration in the process of urbanization had certain driving effect to industrial structure development in northwest China,but the low-level economy, weak financial ability, and the low-level of export-oriented degree and industrial agglomeration restricted the driving effect in northwest China.④ In addition, its own multiple factors had deepened the driving effect of the industrial structure development in the process of urbanization in northwest China, and the spatial spillover of economic development had positively pushed the driving effect, but the space competition effect caused by the strength of regional development, the strength of regional openness and industrial agglomeration had weakened it to the great extent.In the future, based on the upgrading to the industrial structure by accelerating urbanization process, the coordination and linkage development in northwest China need to be strengthened between cities.关键词
城市化进程/产业结构演变/驱动效应/空间计量/西北地区Key words
process of urbanization/industrial structure development/driving effect/spatial econometrics/northwest China分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
马子量..西北地区城市化进程对产业结构演变的驱动效应研究[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2016,26(11):37-44,8.基金项目
国家社会科学基金项目" 西部地区经济空间结构优化与协调发展研究"(批准号:12BJL072). （批准号:12BJL072）
