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基于灰色关联理论的宁波市交通运输产业结构分析

金曙光 汪小京 戴东生

交通运输研究2016,Vol.2Issue(6):1-6,6.
交通运输研究2016,Vol.2Issue(6):1-6,6.DOI:10.16503/j.cnki.2095-9931.2016.06.001

基于灰色关联理论的宁波市交通运输产业结构分析

Transportation Industry Structure Analysis of Ningbo Based on Grey Relational Theory

金曙光 1汪小京 1戴东生1

作者信息

  • 1. 宁波市现代物流规划研究院,浙江 宁波 315040
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

With the purpose of optimizing the transportation industry structure and promoting its devel⁃opment, it is need to quantitatively evaluate the structure and propose the accurate and effective develop⁃ment strategy of transportation industry. The relations between the development of transportation and evolution of industry structure were observed from the perspective of traffic economy. A grey evaluation model was built for transportation industry structure of Ningbo based on the grey theory. Through the grey relational analysis method, the quantitative analysis for the transportation industry structure from 2011 to 2014 of Ningbo was conducted. According to the calculation results of the correlation degree, the grey correlation degree of waterway transportation, air transportation and urban traffic were large, which played a leading role in the development of traffic economy. The research results reveal that the structure system of transportation industry has been initially formed. But it also presents the characteris⁃tics of imbalance in industrial structure, multi-speed of development, and fragile industrial correlation and complementarity. Thus, three strategies were proposed to optimize the transportation industry struc⁃ture of Ningbo:strengthening the interactions between the transportation and related industry, intensify⁃ing the cultivation of the transportation leading industry, paying attention to guide the development of air transportation.

关键词

灰色理论/交通经济/评价模型/关联分析/产业结构

Key words

grey theory/traffic economy/evaluation model/correlation analysis/industry structure

分类

交通工程

引用本文复制引用

金曙光,汪小京,戴东生..基于灰色关联理论的宁波市交通运输产业结构分析[J].交通运输研究,2016,2(6):1-6,6.

基金项目

浙江省自然科学基金项目 ()

交通运输研究

1002-4786

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