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我国粮食最低收购价政策的效应及最低价预测∗

黄剑桥 王利平 甘丽蓉 袁留闯

经济数学2016,Vol.33Issue(4):105-110,6.
经济数学2016,Vol.33Issue(4):105-110,6.

我国粮食最低收购价政策的效应及最低价预测∗

Effect of China’s Grain Minimum Purchase Price Policy and the Lowest Price Forecast

黄剑桥 1王利平 2甘丽蓉 1袁留闯1

作者信息

  • 1. 湖南大学 金融与统计学院,湖南 长沙 410079
  • 2. 数学与计量学院,湖南 长沙 410082
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Abstract This article constructed the evaluation index system model of the grain minimum purchase price policy. Then,combined with the implementation of different varieties,the fixed effect regression analysis method was employed to em-pirically analyze wheat and rice of the two varieties of grain,and these two models were compared.The VAR prediction model of the minimum grain purchase price was constructed,and the price of wheat and rice in 201 7 was forecasted.

关键词

粮食最低收购价政策/评价指标体系模型/固定效应回归分析/向量自回归(VAR)模型

Key words

grain minimum purchase price policy/evaluation index system model/fixed effect regression analysis/vec-tor auto-regressive (VAR)model

分类

管理科学

引用本文复制引用

黄剑桥,王利平,甘丽蓉,袁留闯..我国粮食最低收购价政策的效应及最低价预测∗[J].经济数学,2016,33(4):105-110,6.

基金项目

湖南省教改课题(521293068) (521293068)

经济数学

1007-1660

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