地震地磁观测与研究2016，Vol.37Issue(6)：32-37,6.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1003-3246.2016.06.006
漠河北潜在震源区最大潜在地震发生概率评估
Assessment of the causative probability of the largest potential earthquake in Mohe north potential source zone
摘要
Abstract
AnMS 6.6 magnitude earthquake occurred in the north of Mohe County, border between China and Russia, on October 14, 2011. To disclose the impact of this earthquake on the surrounding region, the potential seismic source zone was redevised and its spatial distribution function was recounted. A new predicted result was given by using the seismic risk probability analysis method and the G—R relationship. The new result shows that, in the next 100 years, the earthquake occurrence probability ofMS 7.0, in the north of Mohe County, is 0.073 and the recurrence period is 1 316.关键词
大兴安岭北部/潜在震源区/G-R关系/发震概率/重现周期Key words
northern Da Hinggan Mountains/potential source zone/G-R relationship/causative probability/recurrence period引用本文复制引用
康健,王卓,黄艳,刘双,孙海峰,缪祥财..漠河北潜在震源区最大潜在地震发生概率评估[J].地震地磁观测与研究,2016,37(6):32-37,6.基金项目
黑龙江省地震局一般性科研课题项目（编号201401）；中国地震局地震行业科研专项 （）
