福建农林大学学报（自然科学版）2017，Vol.46Issue(1)：95-102,8.DOI:10.13323/j.cnki.j.fafu(nat.sci.).2017.01.015
龙岩市1960—2013年气候变化特征及未来趋势分析
Changes in temperature and precipitation of Longyan city during 1960-2013 and future prediction
摘要
Abstract
Linear regression and rescaled range analysis were used to analyze changes in temperature and precipitation of Longyan during 1960-2013. The result showed increases in seasonal and annual temperature. Linear trend for annual temperature was 0.014℃·a-1 , indicating a continuous increase in the future. Average cycle durations for 4 seasons and annual temperature were 6, 5,8, 8 and 11 a respectively. Linear trend for annual precipitation was 0.877 mm·a-1 . Precipitation in spring and summer continuously increased but decrease in autumn. While winter and annual precipitation increase, which was contrary to the past. Average cycle du-rations for annual and 4 seasons temperature were 8, 14, 8, 7 and 5 a respectively. The decreased precipitation was attributed to in-creased air temperature.关键词
气温/降水量/线性回归/R/S分析法Key words
air temperature/precipitation/linear regression/rescaled range analysis分类
天文与地球科学引用本文复制引用
赵嘉阳,郭福涛,王文辉,丘永杭,靳全锋,林玉蕊..龙岩市1960—2013年气候变化特征及未来趋势分析[J].福建农林大学学报（自然科学版）,2017,46(1):95-102,8.基金项目
福建省自然科学基金资助项目(2015J05049) （2015J05049）
福建省教育厅资助项目(JK2014012) （JK2014012）
保险精算实验室资助项目(118310010) （118310010）
基于信息技术的复合型创新人才培养平台建设项目(117-612014047). （117-612014047）
