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改进BP神经网络算法在中小流域洪水预报中的应用研究

王建金 石朋 瞿思敏 肖紫薇 戴韵秋 陈颖冰 陈星宇

西安理工大学学报2016,Vol.32Issue(4):475-480,6.
西安理工大学学报2016,Vol.32Issue(4):475-480,6.DOI:10.19322/j.cnki.issn.1006-4710.2016.04.017

改进BP神经网络算法在中小流域洪水预报中的应用研究

Application of improved BP neural network algorithm in flood forecasting in the middle and small watershed

王建金 1石朋 1瞿思敏 2肖紫薇 1戴韵秋 1陈颖冰 1陈星宇1

作者信息

  • 1. 河海大学 水文水资源学院,江苏 南京 210098
  • 2. 河海大学 水文水资源与水利工程科学国家重点实验室,江苏 南京 210098
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Dingan river watershed,one of the primary tributary of Wanquan River and located at the cen-tral part of Hainan Province,is a typical middle and small watershed.Aiming at solving the problems of prediction results unsmooth and in risk presenting outliers when using BP neural network flood forecas-ting,the multi-time synthesis algorithm and smoothing algorithm are proposed considering the character-istics of hydrological processes.Selecting the Dingan River watershed of Hainan province as the study ar-ea and adopting multiplayer feed-forward BP neural network are to build several different plans for com-parison and analysis.The results show that the proposed method can be used to compensate for the defi-ciency of the original algorithm in improving the accuracy of flood forecasting ,with a good practical val-ue as a useful reference for the traditional forecasting methods.

关键词

洪水预报/BP神经网络/模型改进/定安河流域

Key words

flood forecasting/BP neural network/model improvement/Dingan River watershed

分类

天文与地球科学

引用本文复制引用

王建金,石朋,瞿思敏,肖紫薇,戴韵秋,陈颖冰,陈星宇..改进BP神经网络算法在中小流域洪水预报中的应用研究[J].西安理工大学学报,2016,32(4):475-480,6.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金资助项目(51479062,41371048);中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助项目 ()

西安理工大学学报

OA北大核心CSTPCD

1006-4710

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