水资源与水工程学报2016，Vol.27Issue(6)：7-12,19,7.DOI:10.11705/j.issn.1672-643X.2016.06.02
耦合中期、长期径流预报的跨流域引水受水水库调度图研究
Reservoir operation charts of inter-basin water transfer in intake area by coupling mid- and long-term runoff forecast
摘要
Abstract
In order to improve the effectiveness of reservoir water diversion in intake area of inter-basin water transfer project, reservoir operation charts of inter-basin water transfer in intake area by coupling mid-and long -term runoff forecast were studied based on the parameter -simulation -optimization ( PSO) model. Through the case study in the Biliuhe reservoir, the methods of employing long -term forecast to modify the upper and lower limitations of the water division rules, and “storage plus mid-term runoff forecast” were proposed. The different forecast operation methods were compared for the sim-ulated results and operation risk analysis. The rationality of coupling the mid-term and long-term run-off forecast operation charts was analyzed. The results showed that the coupling mid -and long -term runoff forecast operation charts could reduce the inter-basin diverted water effectively, improve the utili-zation efficiency of water resources, and reduce the water shortage risks compared with the operation charts by only using long-term runoff forecast.关键词
跨流域引水/长期径流预报/中期径流预报/调度风险Key words
inter-basin water transfer/long term runoff forecast/medium term runoff forecast/opera-tion risk分类
建筑与水利引用本文复制引用
卢迪,周如瑞..耦合中期、长期径流预报的跨流域引水受水水库调度图研究[J].水资源与水工程学报,2016,27(6):7-12,19,7.基金项目
国家自然科学基金项目(51379027) （51379027）
辽宁省自然科学基金项目(2015020608) （2015020608）
