农业现代化研究2017，Vol.38Issue(1)：38-45,59,9.DOI:10.13872/j.1000-0275.2016.0049
不同种植结构条件下的农户利润风险分析--基于云南南部边境山区农户的调查
Analysis on profit risk of rural households under different plantation structures：A case study of the mountainous area of the southern border of Yunnan, China
摘要
Abstract
With the fundamental changes in the economic system, China’s rural economy has been rapidly developed since the economic reform and opening, but agricultural production risks remain. Moreover, the poverty problem is serious in the tropical and subtropical mountainous area of the southern border of Yunnan, China, with abundant agricultural crops and different profit risks. Based on questionnaire survey data of 366 rural households in 2015 in mountainous area of the southern border of Yunnan, China and applying the standard deviation and factor analysis methods, this paper examined the inputs and outputs of rural households and analyzed the proift risks under different plantation structures. Results indicated 1) the plantation structure was diversified with many cash crops including sugarcane, banana, coffee and tea, and grain food crops, including corn, paddy rice, and upland rice; and 2) the proift risk was signiifcantly different under different plantation structures in current conditions of market economy. The proift risk of the single plantation was generally higher than the multiple plantation structure. The proift risk of cultivated area of over 50% of cash crops was generally lower than the cultivated area of less than 50% of cash crops. Currently the plantation structure in the region was mainly multiple plantation with less than 50% of cash crops and the orientation of adjustment of plantation structure was benign but the proift risk was comparatively higher. Therefore this paper suggests that the policy guidance should conform to the trend of the development of market economy in Yunnan, increasing the share of cash crop production to reduce the proift risk provided keeping food security for the region.关键词
种植结构/利润风险/农户/山区/云南Key words
plantation structure/proift risk/rural households/mountainous area/Yunnan分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
冯璐,吴春梅,张焱,李勃,陶大云..不同种植结构条件下的农户利润风险分析--基于云南南部边境山区农户的调查[J].农业现代化研究,2017,38(1):38-45,59,9.基金项目
国家自然科学基金项目（71403234）。@@@@National Natural Science Foundation of China (71403234) （71403234）
