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甲烷浓度变化的有效辐射强迫及其对气候的影响

谢冰 张华 杨冬冬

气候变化研究进展2017,Vol.13Issue(1):83-88,6.
气候变化研究进展2017,Vol.13Issue(1):83-88,6.DOI:10.12006/j.issn.1673-1719.2016.070

甲烷浓度变化的有效辐射强迫及其对气候的影响

A Modeling Study of Effective Radiative Forcing and Climate Response Due to the Change in Methane Concentration

谢冰 1张华 2杨冬冬3

作者信息

  • 1. 兰州大学大气科学学院半干旱气候变化教育部重点实验室,兰州 730000
  • 2. 中国气象局气候研究开放实验室/中国气象局国家气候中心,北京 100081
  • 3. 南京信息工程大学大气科学学院,南京 210044
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

A General Circulation Model, BCC_AGCM2.0 from National Climate Center of China, was used in this work. And the effective radiative forcing (ERF), newly deifned by IPCC AR5, was adopted in discussing the radiative forcing and climate response for methane. The ERF due to the change in methane concentration from pre-industrial was 0.49 W/m2. Because of the change in methane concentration, the global annual mean surface temperature increased by 0.31℃, and precipitation increased by 0.02 mm per day. And there were remarkable increases (by approximately 4%) in the cloud cover in high latitudes of both Northern and Southern Hemisphere, and the cloud cover decreased (by approximately-3%) sharply in tropical areas.

关键词

甲烷/有效辐射强迫/气候变化

Key words

methane/effective radiative forcing/climate change

引用本文复制引用

谢冰,张华,杨冬冬..甲烷浓度变化的有效辐射强迫及其对气候的影响[J].气候变化研究进展,2017,13(1):83-88,6.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金项目 ()

气候变化研究进展

OA北大核心CSCDCSTPCD

1673-1719

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